PAOK
Greek Superleague | Gameweek 4
Sep 17, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
Aris

PAOK
0 - 0
Aris

Despodov (84')
Vieirinha (36'), Koulierakis (67'), Murg (90+7'), Kedziora (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Doukoure (22'), Montoya (28'), Cuesta (87')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between PAOK and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: OFI Crete 1-0 PAOK
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Aris 3-2 Asteras
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
PAOKDrawAris Thessaloniki
59.09% (-1.618 -1.62)23.39% (0.709 0.71)17.52% (0.906 0.91)
Both teams to score 46.34% (-0.327 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29% (-1.377 -1.38)52.71% (1.375 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65% (-1.19 -1.19)74.34% (1.189 1.19)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (-1.061 -1.06)17.55% (1.058 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.9% (-1.875 -1.88)48.1% (1.872 1.87)
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.21% (0.322 0.32)43.79% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.05% (0.264 0.26)79.95% (-0.267 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 59.08%
    Aris Thessaloniki 17.52%
    Draw 23.39%
PAOKDrawAris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 13.37% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 11.63% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.35 -0.35)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.262 -0.26)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.08%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 7.69% (0.409 0.41)
2-2 @ 3.97% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 23.39%
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.392 0.39)
1-2 @ 4.56% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.184 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 17.52%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
PAOK
3-2
Aris
Taison (56'), Schwab (62' pen.), Zivkovic (78')
Kamara (45'), Darida (70')
Mar 19, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 1
Aris
1-2
PAOK
Palma (12')
Schwab (68' pen.), Zivkovic (73')
Jan 4, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 16
PAOK
1-0
Aris
Ingi Ingason (45+1')
Sep 4, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Aris
0-0
PAOK
May 11, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
PAOK
0-1
Aris

Ingi Ingason (44'), Kurtic (65'), Sastre (82')
Kamara (63')
Bertoglio (38'), Mbakata (45+2'), Doukoure (58'), Delizisis (90+6')