UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 10, 2023 at 7.15pm UK

Stadio Harilaou Kleanthis Vikelidis

Aris
1 - 0
Dynamo Kiev

(2-2 on aggregate)

Palma (69' pen.)
Jules (38'), Montoya (51'), Leismann (54'), Menendez (64'), Ferrari (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tymchyk (3'), Shaparenko (16')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Aris Thessaloniki and Dynamo Kiev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Aris 1-0 Ararat-Armenia
Thursday, August 3 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Dynamo Kiev

All competitions

Last Game: Obolon 2-4 Dynamo Kiev
Friday, August 4 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.

Result
Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
38.49% ( -0.1)	26.37% ( 0.06)	35.14% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 52.89% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.17% (

-0.23)

51.83% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.41% (

-0.2)

73.59% (

0.2)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.71% (

-0.16)

26.29% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.59% (

-0.22)

61.41% (

0.22)

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

-0.09)

28.24% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.05% (

-0.11)

63.95% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Aris Thessaloniki 38.49%

Dynamo Kiev 35.14%

Draw 26.37%

Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.49%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.14%