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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 4pm UK
Armenia Football Academy grass
Aris

Ararat-Armenia
1 - 1
Aris

Eza (11')
Julio (41'), Avanesyan (83'), Moron (84'), Grigoryan (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Palma (20')
Jules (52'), Moron (81'), Palma (84'), Cuesta (90+5')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Ararat-Armenia and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ararat-Armenia

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Egnatia Rrogozhine 4-4 Ararat-Armenia (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 20 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-1 Aris
Sunday, May 14 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Ararat-ArmeniaDrawAris Thessaloniki
37.94% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.99% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)34.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.69% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)58.32% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)78.94%
Ararat-Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.7% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)65.76% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.15% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)68.63% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ararat-Armenia 37.94%
    Aris Thessaloniki 34.06%
    Draw 27.99%
Ararat-ArmeniaDrawAris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 11.59%
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.94%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 10.83%
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 6.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.06%

How you voted: Ararat-Armenia vs Aris

Ararat-Armenia
40.9%
Draw
18.2%
Aris Thessaloniki
40.9%
22