UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 20, 2023 at 7pm UK

Elbasan Arena

Egnatia Rrogozhine
4 - 4
Ararat-Armenia

(5-5 on aggregate)

Medeiros (3'), Kasa (36'), Dwamena (108', 120+4')
Musta (7'), Zejnullai (113')

FT
(aet)

Eza (16'), Castanheira (57'), Yenne (110'), Julio (113')
Nondi (7'), Muradyan (33'), Yenne (113'), Ghazaryan (119')

Ararat-Armenia win 4-2 on penalties

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Egnatia Rrogozhine and Ararat-Armenia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egnatia Rrogozhine

Last Game: Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhine
Thursday, July 13 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Ararat-Armenia

Last Game: Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhine
Thursday, July 13 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 72.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Egnatia Rrogozhine had a probability of 9.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.49%) and 0-3 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Egnatia Rrogozhine win it was 1-0 (3.86%).

Result
Egnatia Rrogozhine	Draw	Ararat-Armenia
9.26% ( -0.07)	17.78% ( 0.01)	72.96% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 40.66% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.34% (

-0.22)

47.66% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.14% (

-0.2)

69.86% (

0.2)

Egnatia Rrogozhine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46% (

-0.28)

54% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.73% (

-0.17)

87.27% (

0.18)

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.4% (

-0.04)

11.6% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.41% (

-0.1)

36.59% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhine 9.26%

Ararat-Armenia 72.95%

Draw 17.78%

Egnatia Rrogozhine	Draw	Ararat-Armenia
1-0 @ 3.86% ( 0) 2-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 9.26%	1-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.44% Total : 17.78%	0-2 @ 14.53% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 10.43% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 72.95%