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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 4pm UK
Armenia Football Academy grass

Ararat-Armenia
1 - 1
Egnatia Rrogozhine

Alemao (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dwamena (90+7')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Ararat-Armenia and Egnatia Rrogozhine.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ararat-Armenia

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Last Game: Paide 0-0 Ararat-Armenia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Egnatia Rrogozhine

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 73.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Egnatia Rrogozhine had a probability of 7.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.24%) and 3-0 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.01%), while for a Egnatia Rrogozhine win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Ararat-ArmeniaDrawEgnatia Rrogozhine
73.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)18.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)7.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 31.14% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.21% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)56.79% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)77.72% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Ararat-Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)14.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.21% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)41.79% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Egnatia Rrogozhine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.26% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)63.73% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.55% (-0.0231 -0.02)92.44% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ararat-Armenia 73.58%
    Egnatia Rrogozhine 7.53%
    Draw 18.88%
Ararat-ArmeniaDrawEgnatia Rrogozhine
1-0 @ 17.62% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 17.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.5%
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 73.58%
0-0 @ 9.01% (0.013 0.01)
1-1 @ 7.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.88%
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 1.79% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 7.53%

How you voted: Ararat-Armenia vs Egnatia Rrogozhine

Ararat-Armenia
94.4%
Draw
5.6%
Egnatia Rrogozhine
0.0%
18
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Ararat-Armenia