Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 73.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Egnatia Rrogozhine had a probability of 7.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.24%) and 3-0 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.01%), while for a Egnatia Rrogozhine win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.