Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.