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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 5pm UK
Paide linnastaadion kunstmuruväljak

Paide
0 - 0
Ararat-Armenia


Klavan (33'), Yusif (83'), Simon (120+1')
FT

Tera (39'), Agdon (46'), Duarte (90+4'), Lima (113'), Firmino (120')
Paide win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Paide and Ararat-Armenia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paide

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ararat-Armenia 0-0 Paide
Thursday, July 21 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Ararat-Armenia

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ararat-Armenia 0-0 Paide
Thursday, July 21 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
PaideDrawArarat-Armenia
41.85% (0.044999999999995 0.04)23.85% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)34.3% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.44% (0.012 0.01)40.56% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.06% (0.012999999999998 0.01)62.94% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Paide Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)19.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)51.63% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Ararat-Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)23.39% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)57.37% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paide 41.85%
    Ararat-Armenia 34.3%
    Draw 23.84%
PaideDrawArarat-Armenia
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 41.85%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 6.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 34.3%

How you voted: Paide vs Ararat-Armenia

Paide
38.5%
Draw
30.8%
Ararat-Armenia
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 4pm
Ararat-Armenia
0-0
Paide

Firmino (45')

Saliste (41'), Mool (67'), Saarma (85')