Conference League
Aug 3, 2023 7.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Harilaou Kleanthis Vikelidis
  • Moses Odubajo 42' yellowcard
  • Fabiano Leismann 80' goal
  • yellowcard Edgar Grigoryan 29'
  • yellowcard Cassio Scheid 33'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Eza 89'

Aris Thessaloniki vs Ararat-Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 27, 2023 4.00pm
Ararat-Armenia 1 - 1 Aris

Ararat-Armenia

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 27, 2023 4.00pm
Ararat-Armenia 1 - 1 Aris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.

Result

Aris Thessaloniki 40.33% (+0.17)
Draw 25.46% (+0.06)
Ararat-Armenia 34.2% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.78% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.94% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 48.06% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 29.77% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 70.23% (+0.28)
Over 4.5 14.51% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 85.48% (+0.20)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5 76.4% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 23.6% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 42.32% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.68% (+0.08)

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 73.01% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 26.99% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 37.66% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 62.34% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Aris Thessaloniki 40.33%
Draw 25.46%
Ararat-Armenia 34.2%
Aris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 9.2% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 8.7% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.64% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 3.2% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 40.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.37% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.46%
Ararat-Armenia
0-1 @ 8.34% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.2%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 27, 2023 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Armenia Football Academy grass
  • Wilfried Eza 11' goal
  • Junior Julio 41' yellowcard
  • Artem Avanesyan 83' yellowcard
  • Loren Moron 84' yellowcard
  • Edgar Grigoryan 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Palma 20'
  • yellowcard Jean Jules 52'
  • yellowcard Loren Moron 81'
  • yellowcard Luis Palma 84'
  • yellowcard Julian Cuesta 90'+5'