Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.

Result
Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	Ararat-Armenia
40.33% ( 0.17)	25.46% ( 0.06)	34.2% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 55.78% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.94% (

-0.3)

48.06% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.77% (

-0.28)

70.23% (

0.28)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.4% (

-0.05)

23.6% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.32% (

-0.07)

57.68% (

0.07)

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

-0.28)

26.99% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

-0.37)

62.34% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Aris Thessaloniki 40.33%

Ararat-Armenia 34.2%

Draw 25.46%

Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	Ararat-Armenia
1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.33%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.2%