Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 66.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Minai had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.45%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.