Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 13.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.