Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 25
May 7, 2023 at 11am UK
Stadion Chornomorets

Chornomorets
1 - 2
Dnipro-1

Alefirenko (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nazarenko (57'), Dovbyk (82')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Chornomorets Odesa and Dnipro-1.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chornomorets Odesa

All competitions
Last Game: Chornomorets 3-0 Kovalivka
Wednesday, May 3 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Dnipro-1

All competitions
Last Game: Dnipro-1 5-0 Metal Kharkiv
Wednesday, May 3 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 63.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 15.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.

Result
Chornomorets OdesaDrawDnipro-1
15.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)63.87% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 50.02% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.58% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)45.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24%67.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.85% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)42.15% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.56% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)13.52% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)40.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chornomorets Odesa 15.4%
    Dnipro-1 63.86%
    Draw 20.72%
Chornomorets OdesaDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 4.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 4.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 2.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.23%
3-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 15.4%
1-1 @ 9.85%
0-0 @ 5.7%
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.72%
0-2 @ 11.4%
0-1 @ 11.4%
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 7.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.57%
0-4 @ 3.81%
1-4 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-5 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.42%
1-5 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 63.86%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 11am
gameweek 10
Dnipro-1
1-0
Chornomorets
Pikhalyonok (23')
Svatok (20')
Dec 6, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 13
Dnipro-1
3-1
Chornomorets
Pikhalyonok (20'), Dovbyk (64' pen.), Ihnatenko (71')
Monte (15'), Nazarenko (54')
Isaienko (12')
Avagimian (22'), Vachiberadze (33'), Tsitaishvili (41'), Putria (50'), Kadiri (78')
Jul 31, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 2
Chornomorets
0-3
Dnipro-1

Dubko (19'), Kravchenko (39')
Pikhalyonok (40'), Dubko (51' og.), Adamyuk (61')
Dubinchak (22'), Durasek (63')