Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 62.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.