Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for an Atromitos win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.