Conference League
Aug 24, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Lawrence Shankland 9' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 51' yellowcard
  • Cameron Devlin 82' yellowcard
  • goal Stefan Schwab 12'
  • yellowcard Theocharis Tsiggaras 51'
  • goal Andrija Zivkovic 75'
  • yellowcard William Troost-Ekong 82'
  • yellowcard Rafa Soares 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Thomas Murg 90'+9'

Hearts vs PAOK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

PAOK

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PAOK in this match.

Result

Hearts 30.61%
Draw 24.32%
PAOK 45.06%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.31%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.84%
Under 2.5 44.16%
Over 3.5 33.46%
Under 3.5 66.54%
Over 4.5 17.13%
Under 4.5 82.87%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 72.65%
Under 0.5 27.35%
Over 1.5 37.19%
Under 1.5 62.81%

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5 80.26%
Under 0.5 19.74%
Over 1.5 48.23%
Under 1.5 51.77%

Score analysis

Hearts 30.61%
Draw 24.32%
PAOK 45.06%
Hearts
2-1 @ 7.36%
1-0 @ 7%
2-0 @ 4.54%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.32%
PAOK
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-1 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.11%
1-3 @ 4.98%
0-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 3.23%
1-4 @ 2.02%
0-4 @ 1.56%
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 45.06%