UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
1 - 2
PAOK

(PAOK win 6-1 on aggregate)

Shankland (9' pen.)
Shankland (51'), Devlin (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Schwab (12' pen.), Zivkovic (75')
Tsiggaras (51'), Troost-Ekong (82'), Soares (90+5'), Murg (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Hearts and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PAOK in this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	PAOK
30.61%	24.32%	45.06%

Both teams to score 58.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.84%

44.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.46%

66.54%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.65%

27.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.19%

62.81%

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.26%

19.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.23%

51.77%

Score Analysis

Hearts 30.61%

PAOK 45.06%

Draw 24.32%

Hearts	Draw	PAOK
2-1 @ 7.36% 1-0 @ 7% 2-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.61%	1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 9.21% 0-1 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 7.11% 1-3 @ 4.98% 0-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.06%

How you voted: Hearts vs PAOK

Hearts

36.0%

Draw

20.0%

PAOK

44.0%