UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 10, 2023 at 6pm UK

Lerkendal Stadion

Rosenborg
2 - 1
Hearts

(Hearts win 4-3 on aggregate)

Frederiksen (14'), Nelson (45+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Shankland (78')
Devlin (14'), Shankland (54')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Rosenborg and Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosenborg

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Haugesund 1-2 Rosenborg
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: St Johnstone 0-2 Hearts
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.

Result
Rosenborg	Draw	Hearts
48.21% ( 0.18)	24.35% ( -0.06)	27.44% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 56.1% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89% (

0.2)

46.11% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.59% (

0.19)

68.41% (

-0.19)

Rosenborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79% (

0.15)

19.21% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.1% (

0.25)

50.9% (

-0.25)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.43% (

0.02)

30.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.2% (

0.02)

66.8% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Rosenborg 48.21%

Hearts 27.44%

Draw 24.35%

Rosenborg	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 48.21%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.44%