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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Hearts logo

St Johnstone
0 - 2
Hearts


McClelland (17'), Phillips (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oda (75'), Shankland (90+6')
Rowles (16'), Devlin (80'), Boyce (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Leeds
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
29.67% (-1.419 -1.42)26.62% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)43.71% (1.412 1.41)
Both teams to score 50.37% (-0.678 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73% (-0.561 -0.56)54.27% (0.563 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (-0.47 -0.47)75.67% (0.47200000000001 0.47)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85% (-1.315 -1.32)33.15% (1.317 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25% (-1.48 -1.48)69.75% (1.482 1.48)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.46300000000001 0.46)24.66% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (0.642 0.64)59.18% (-0.64 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 29.67%
    Hearts 43.71%
    Draw 26.61%
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.115 -0.11)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 11.44% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 8.85% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.38 0.38)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.106 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.224 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.055 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.71%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Hearts

St Johnstone
12.5%
Draw
6.3%
Hearts
81.3%
16
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Hearts
3-0
St Johnstone
Ginnelly (21', 63'), Grant (73')
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
St Johnstone
2-3
Hearts
May (55' pen.), Murphy (79')
Shankland (14' pen.), Forrest (33'), McKay (64')
Aug 28, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Hearts
3-2
St Johnstone
Rowles (25'), Boyce (31'), Shankland (81' pen.)
Carey (6'), Considine (54')
Murphy (15'), Phillips (45'), Crawford (66'), Considine (84')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
St Johnstone
2-1
Hearts
Crawford (1'), McCart (56')
Hendry (36'), Butterfield (90+4')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Hearts
2-0
St Johnstone
Ginnelly (46', 75')
Souttar (73'), Smith (89')

Cleary (60'), Davidson (70'), Gordon (90+3')