MX23RW : Tuesday, March 5 14:05:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 3, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Freiburg logo
Mainz
0 - 1
Freiburg

Barreiro (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gregoritsch (69')
Sallai (87')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, November 26 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 5-0 Olympiacos
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Freiburg

Although Mainz appear to have overcome their early season slump, they are still struggling to put wins on the board, and we can envisage that continuing on Sunday. Freiburg probably have a little more quality than the hosts but they are struggling to juggle two competitions at present, so they may be content to claim a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawFreiburg
40.78% (4.989 4.99) 26.03% (0.995 1) 33.19% (-5.983 -5.98)
Both teams to score 53.62% (-3.923 -3.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27% (-4.829 -4.83)50.72% (4.831 4.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37% (-4.418 -4.42)72.62% (4.419 4.42)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (0.482 0.48)24.56% (-0.481 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.96% (0.671 0.67)59.04% (-0.67 -0.67)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (-5.687 -5.69)28.92% (5.689 5.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-7.659 -7.66)64.8% (7.661 7.66)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 40.78%
    Freiburg 33.19%
    Draw 26.03%
Mainz 05DrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 9.97% (1.917 1.92)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.546 0.55)
2-0 @ 7% (1.425 1.43)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.308 0.31)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.703 0.7)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.126 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.259 0.26)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.78%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.62 0.62)
0-0 @ 7.1% (1.285 1.29)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.553 -0.55)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.291 -0.29)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.81% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.906 -0.91)
0-2 @ 5.47% (-0.731 -0.73)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-1.001 -1)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.755 -0.76)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.663 -0.66)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.539 -0.54)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 33.19%

How you voted: Mainz vs Freiburg

Mainz 05
22.9%
Draw
31.4%
Freiburg
45.7%
35
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 25
Mainz
1-1
Freiburg
Onisiwo (90+6')
Doan (55')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Freiburg
2-1
Mainz
Gregoritsch (3'), Kyereh (37')
Caricol (52')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Freiburg
1-1
Mainz
Petersen (69')
Hack (31')
Stach (7'), Kohr (76')
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Mainz
0-0
Freiburg
Hack (45'), Zentner (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Mainz
1-0
Freiburg
Quaison (84')
Bell (68')

Hofler (21'), Schlotterbeck (33'), Schmid (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen24204061164564
2Bayern MunichBayern24173465283754
3Stuttgart24162655312450
4Borussia DortmundDortmund24128448301844
5RB Leipzig24134753312243
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt2491053831737
7Hoffenheim249694344-133
8Werder Bremen2486103337-430
9Freiburg2486103244-1230
10Augsburg247893941-229
11Heidenheim2477103442-828
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2468104246-426
13Wolfsburg2467113039-925
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin2474132339-1625
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum2451092950-2125
16FC Koln2438131639-2317
17Mainz 05Mainz24210121938-1916
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2427152458-3413

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