Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.