Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.