Europa League
Nov 30, 2023 5.45pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Michael Gregoritsch 3' goal
  • Michael Gregoritsch 8' goal
  • Michael Gregoritsch 36' goal
  • Kiliann Sildillia 42' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 77' goal
  • yellowcard Santiago Hezze 34'
  • yellowcard Panagiotis Retsos 57'
  • yellowcard Vicente Iborra 82'

Freiburg vs Olympiacos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 9, 2023 8.00pm
Freiburg 5 - 0 Backa Topola

Olympiacos

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 9, 2023 8.00pm
West Ham 1 - 0 Olympiacos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result

Freiburg 39.59% (-0.01)
Draw 27.06% (-0.01)
Olympiacos 33.35% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.38% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.11% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 54.89% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 23.82% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 76.18% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 10.62% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 89.38% (-0.02)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 72.89% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.11% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 37.51% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.5% (-0.01)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5 69.11% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 30.89% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 32.83% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 67.18% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Freiburg 39.59%
Draw 27.06%
Olympiacos 33.35%
Freiburg
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.06%
Olympiacos
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.54% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.78% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.95% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 33.35%

Head to Head

Europa League
Sep 21, 2023 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
  • Diego Martinez 0' yellowcard
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 35' yellowcard
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 40' goal
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 74' goal
  • Daniel Podence 85' yellowcard
  • goal Roland Sallai 9'
  • yellowcard Lucas Holer 25'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Schmidt 52'
  • yellowcard Roland Sallai 68'
  • goal Maximilian Philipp 86'
Europa League
Oct 27, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lukas Kubler 90'+3' goal
  • goal Youssef El-Arabi 17'
Europa League
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki
  • goal Nicolas Hofler 5'
  • goal Michael Gregoritsch 25'
  • goal Michael Gregoritsch 53'