MX23RW : Saturday, February 24 02:52:43| >> :120:18889:18889:
Freiburg logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Olympiacos
Freiburg
5 - 0
Olympiacos
Gregoritsch (3', 8', 36'), Sildillia (42'), Doan (77')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Hezze (34'), Retsos (57'), Iborra (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Olympiacos 3-1 Panetolikos
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Olympiacos

Following the five-goal thriller between these two teams in Greece two months ago, another entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action could be in store on Thursday. The onus is on Olympiacos to take the game to Freiburg and push them all the way in their quest to claim maximum points, but we believe that the hosts will ultimately do enough to secure a slender victory and book their place in the knockout rounds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawOlympiacos
39.59% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 27.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 33.35% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.38% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.11% (0.027000000000001 0.03)54.89% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.82% (0.021000000000001 0.02)76.18% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)27.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)62.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11% (0.024000000000001 0.02)30.89% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (0.027000000000001 0.03)67.18% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 39.59%
    Olympiacos 33.35%
    Draw 27.06%
FreiburgDrawOlympiacos
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.59%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 33.35%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Olympiacos

Freiburg
67.1%
Draw
23.2%
Olympiacos
9.8%
82
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Olympiacos
2-3
Freiburg
El Kaabi (40', 74')
Martinez (0'), El Kaabi (35'), Podence (85')
Sallai (9'), Grifo (45+7' pen.), Philipp (86')
Holer (25'), Schmidt (52'), Sallai (68')
Oct 27, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Freiburg
1-1
Olympiacos
Kubler (90+3')
El-Arabi (17')
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Group Stage
Olympiacos
0-3
Freiburg
Hofler (5'), Gregoritsch (25', 53')
rhs 2.0
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