Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.