Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.