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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Hoffenheim logo

Borussia M'bach
2 - 1
Hoffenheim

Plea (58' pen.), N'Goumou (80')
Elvedi (54'), Reitz (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Weghorst (60')
Tohumcu (50'), Akpoguma (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawHoffenheim
49.58% (0.061 0.06)21.95% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)28.46% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 65.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.85% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)56.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (0.02000000000001 0.02)14.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.08% (0.038000000000004 0.04)41.92% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)23.71% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)57.83% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 49.58%
    Hoffenheim 28.46%
    Draw 21.95%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 49.58%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.46%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Hoffenheim

Borussia Monchengladbach
37.8%
Draw
18.9%
Hoffenheim
43.2%
37
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Hoffenheim
1-4
Borussia M'bach
Bebou (80')
Hofmann (12', 37'), Stindl (83'), Wolf (90+1')
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Borussia M'bach
3-1
Hoffenheim
Bensebaini (42'), Thuram (71'), Elvedi (78')
Scally (13')
Skov (25')
Posch (15'), Samassekou (23'), Vogt (75')
Posch (19')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Borussia M'bach
5-1
Hoffenheim
Stindl (26'), Plea (44' pen.), Hofmann (45+1', 68'), Embolo (53')
Stindl (10')
Kramaric (3')
Samassekou (31'), Vogt (60')
Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Hoffenheim
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Akpoguma (90+1')
Kaderabek (55'), Geiger (90+4')
Embolo (35')
Bensebaini (62'), Lainer (90+4')
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Hoffenheim
3-2
Borussia M'bach
Kramaric (48', 65'), Bebou (60')
Grillitsch (10'), Posch (53'), Kaderabek (90')
Plea (25'), Lazaro (45+1')