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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Augsburg
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Demirovic (53')
Uduokhai (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Weghorst (23')
Promel (56'), Akpoguma (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawHoffenheim
40.5% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)23.43% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)36.06% (0.164 0.16)
Both teams to score 63.49% (0.371 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.82% (0.472 0.47)38.18% (-0.472 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.54% (0.5 0.5)60.45% (-0.5 -0.5)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (0.167 0.17)19.26% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (0.274 0.27)50.98% (-0.273 -0.27)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (0.29600000000001 0.3)21.36% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66% (0.457 0.46)54.33% (-0.457 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 40.5%
    Hoffenheim 36.06%
    Draw 23.42%
AugsburgDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.78% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.11% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.06%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Hoffenheim

Augsburg
23.7%
Draw
15.8%
Hoffenheim
60.5%
38
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Augsburg
1-0
Hoffenheim
Jensen (88')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Hoffenheim
1-0
Augsburg
Geiger (39')
Promel (72')

Bauer (59')
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Hoffenheim
3-1
Augsburg
Bebou (38', 44'), Raum (90+3')
Baumgartner (75')
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Augsburg
0-4
Hoffenheim

Gouweleeuw (89')
Bruun Larsen (37'), Adamyan (79'), Rutter (87'), Rudy (90+5')
Raum (19'), Rudy (62')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Augsburg
2-1
Hoffenheim
Vargas (8'), Hahn (23')
Hahn (90+1')
Skov (86')
Samassekou (37')