Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Hoffenheim
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Campo La Quinta
B. Leverkusen
  • Wout Weghorst 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ozan Kabak 48' yellowcard
  • Anton Stach 56' goal
  • Wout Weghorst 58' goal
  • Grischa Promel 60' yellowcard
  • goal Florian Wirtz 9'
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 45'+1'
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 70'
  • yellowcard Lukas Hradecky 72'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 81'

Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Stuttgart 2 - 3 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Maximilian Beier

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2023 4.30pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 1 Freiburg
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Florian Wirtz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 0-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Hoffenheim 19.86% ▼ (-4.47)
Draw 20.16% ▼ (-2.07)
Bayer Leverkusen 59.98% ▲ (+6.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.31% ▲ (+0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.03% ▲ (+4.15)
Under 2.5 34.97% ▼ (-4.15)
Over 3.5 43.04% ▲ (+4.49)
Under 3.5 56.96% ▼ (-4.49)
Over 4.5 24.63% ▲ (+3.64)
Under 4.5 75.36% ▼ (-3.64)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 69.2% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 0.5 30.79% ▲ (+1.54)
Over 1.5 32.93% ▼ (-1.85)
Under 1.5 67.07% ▲ (+1.85)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 88.59% ▲ (+3.30)
Under 0.5 11.4% ▼ (-3.29)
Over 1.5 63.83% ▲ (+6.71)
Under 1.5 36.17% ▼ (-6.71)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 19.86%
Draw 20.16%
Bayer Leverkusen 59.98%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.94)
1-0 @ 4.14% ▼ (-1.15)
2-0 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.81)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.20)
3-1 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.48)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 19.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.98% ▼ (-1.15)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.23)
0-0 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.79)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.16%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.38)
0-1 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.62)
1-3 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.85)
0-3 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.94)
2-3 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.34)
1-4 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.86)
0-4 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.83)
2-4 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.43)
1-5 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.53)
0-5 @ 1.41% ▼ (-91.59)
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 59.98%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Stanley Nsoki 77' goal
  • goal Robert Andrich 6'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 46'
  • goal Adam Hlozek 56'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
B. Leverkusen
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Moussa Diaby 56' yellowcard
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 9'
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 35'
  • yellowcard Ozan Kabak 57'
  • yellowcard Georginio Rutter 74'
  • goal Georginio Rutter 78'
  • yellowcard Angelino 83'
  • yellowcard Kevin Akpoguma 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Georginio Rutter 22' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 36' goal
  • Moanes Dabour 66' yellowcard
  • goal Patrik Schick 34'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 73'
  • goal Patrik Schick 76'
  • goal Lucas Alario 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
B. Leverkusen
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Moussa Diaby 21' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 37' goal
  • Kossonou Odilon 60' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 63' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 85' yellowcard
  • Piero Hincapie 86' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rudy 21'
  • yellowcard David Raum 28'
  • goal Angelo Stiller 80'
  • goal Moanes Dabour 83'
  • yellowcard Moanes Dabour 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Hoffenheim
Apr 12, 2021 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Christoph Baumgartner 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wendell 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
Dec 13, 2020 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Leon Bailey 4' goal
  • Leon Bailey 27' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 31' yellowcard
  • Daley Sinkgraven 35' yellowcard
  • Florian Wirtz 55' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 74' yellowcard
  • Lucas Alario 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Florian Grillitsch 38'
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 50'
  • yellowcard Stefan Posch 58'
  • redcard Florian Grillitsch 64'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vogt 74'
  • redcard Stefan Posch 79'
  • yellowcard Havard Nordtveit 90'+1'

Form Data

Dortmund 1 - 0 Hoffenheim
Stuttgart 2 - 3 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 1 - 3 Frankfurt
Werder Bremen 2 - 3 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 1 - 3 Dortmund
Union Berlin 0 - 2 Hoffenheim
SV Sandhausen 2 - 5 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 2 - 1 Freiburg
B. Leverkusen 5 - 1 Qarabag
Wolfsburg 1 - 2 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 3 - 0 FC Koln
Molde 1 - 2 B. Leverkusen