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Bundesliga

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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Leverkusen logo

Hoffenheim
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Stach (56'), Weghorst (58')
Weghorst (45+3'), Kabak (48'), Promel (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wirtz (9'), Grimaldo (45+1', 70')
Hradecky (72'), Tah (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Sandhausen 2-5 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 0-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
19.86% (-4.467 -4.47)20.16% (-2.061 -2.06)59.98% (6.53 6.53)
Both teams to score 61.31% (0.971 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.03% (4.145 4.15)34.97% (-4.142 -4.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.04% (4.485 4.49)56.96% (-4.482 -4.48)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-1.531 -1.53)30.79% (1.533 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (-1.847 -1.85)67.07% (1.85 1.85)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (3.293 3.29)11.4% (-3.29 -3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.83% (6.708 6.71)36.17% (-6.705 -6.71)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 19.86%
    Bayer Leverkusen 59.98%
    Draw 20.16%
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.29% (-0.937 -0.94)
1-0 @ 4.14% (-1.146 -1.15)
2-0 @ 2.44% (-0.81 -0.81)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-0 @ 0.96% (-0.374 -0.37)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 19.86%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-1.149 -1.15)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.228 -0.23)
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.787 -0.79)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.28% (0.372 0.37)
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.62 -0.62)
1-3 @ 7.06% (0.845 0.85)
0-3 @ 5.99% (0.937 0.94)
2-3 @ 4.16% (0.338 0.34)
1-4 @ 3.83% (0.852 0.85)
0-4 @ 3.25% (0.829 0.83)
2-4 @ 2.26% (0.425 0.43)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.521 0.52)
0-5 @ 1.41% (0.482 0.48)
2-5 @ 0.98% (0.277 0.28)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 59.98%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen

Hoffenheim
6.3%
Draw
6.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
87.5%
64
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
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B. Leverkusen
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Andrich (6'), Diaby (46'), Hlozek (56')
> Preview
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Baumgartner (9'), Kramaric (35'), Rutter (78')
Kabak (57'), Rutter (74'), Angelino (83'), Akpoguma (86')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
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Hoffenheim
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')
Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Hoffenheim
Schick (37', 63')
Diaby (21'), Odilon (60'), Tapsoba (85'), Hincapie (86')
Diaby (90+2')
Stiller (80'), Dabour (83')
Rudy (21'), Raum (28'), Dabour (88')
> Preview
Apr 12, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Hoffenheim
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B. Leverkusen
Baumgartner (89')
Wendell (81')
> Preview