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Bundesliga

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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
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Freiburg
0 - 0
Union Berlin

FT

Aaronson (50'), Ronnow (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Freiburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawUnion Berlin
63.45% (0.351 0.35)20.49% (-0.111 -0.11)16.06% (-0.244 -0.24)
Both teams to score 52.35% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89% (0.031999999999996 0.03)43.11% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49% (0.032999999999994 0.03)65.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07% (0.111 0.11)12.93% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.62% (0.23099999999999 0.23)39.38% (-0.234 -0.23)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.12% (-0.29 -0.29)39.88% (0.285 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.46% (-0.265 -0.27)76.54% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 63.44%
    Union Berlin 16.06%
    Draw 20.49%
FreiburgDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.36% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.76% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 63.44%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.49%
0-1 @ 4.74% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.06%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Union Berlin

Freiburg
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Union Berlin
6.3%
32
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Union Berlin
4-2
Freiburg
Behrens (5'), Becker (36', 38'), Laidouni (80')
Khedira (15'), Behrens (33'), Becker (36')
Gulde (56'), Grifo (70' pen.)
Gregoritsch (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Freiburg
4-1
Union Berlin
Grifo (4' pen., 6', 20' pen.), Gregoritsch (45+1')
Michel (84' pen.)
> Preview
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
1-4
Union Berlin
Holer (59')
Sallai (67')
Promel (11'), Trimmel (30'), Becker (41'), Schafer (90')
Oczipka (50'), Luthe (69')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Union Berlin
0-0
Freiburg
Becker (77')
Hofler (35')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Freiburg
0-1
Union Berlin

Grifo (37'), Holer (50')
Promel (64')
Lenz (39'), Giesselmann (85')
> Preview