MX23RW : Sunday, February 25 06:03:18| >> :600:121121:121121:
Braga
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Union Berlin logo
Braga
1 - 1
Union Berlin
Djalo (51')
Gomez (33'), Zalazar (45+1'), Jorge (90+3')
Niakate (31')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gosens (42')
Knoche (3'), Tousart (39'), Bonucci (45+4'), Khedira (54')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Braga and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 1-4 Braga
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Braga 2-0 Union Berlin

Braga will be confident in taking advantage of an out-of-form Union side to keep their hopes of the knockout stages alive, especially considering their blistering recent attacking form. Union will be hoping for a new manager bounce under Bjelica, but with the morale of the squad still in tatters, it is tough to see them changing their fortunes in such a challenging encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawUnion Berlin
62.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 19.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 17.39% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 58.03% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.94% (0.012 0.01)37.06% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.74% (0.011000000000003 0.01)59.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.73% (0.007000000000005 0.01)11.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.13% (0.012 0.01)35.86% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (0.0040000000000013 0)71.32%
Score Analysis
    Braga 62.88%
    Union Berlin 17.39%
    Draw 19.73%
BragaDrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 3.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 62.88%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23%
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.73%
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 17.39%

How you voted: Braga vs Union Berlin

Braga
82.1%
Draw
9.8%
Union Berlin
8.0%
112
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Union Berlin
2-3
Braga
Becker (30', 37')
Bonucci (13'), Leite (54'), Juranovic (90+5')
Niakate (41'), Bruma (51'), Castro (90+4')
Horta (13'), Banza (46'), Zalazar (72')
Oct 27, 2022 5.45pm
Group Stage
Union Berlin
1-0
Braga
Knoche (68' pen.)
Sep 15, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
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