Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.