Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round

Nov 25, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
1 - 4
Braga

Relvas (83')
Carlinhos (30'), Zinho (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Djalo (13'), Horta (47', 50'), Lopes (76')
Marin (37')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Portimonense and Braga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Portimonense 2-1 Chaves
Saturday, November 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Braga
Sunday, November 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Portimonense win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Braga
19.46% ( -0.86)	21.51% ( -0.33)	59.03% ( 1.2)

Both teams to score 55.74% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.05% (

0.26)

41.95% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.64% (

0.26)

64.36% (

-0.26)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.72% (

-0.73)

35.28% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.96% (

-0.77)

72.03% (

0.77)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.12% (

0.46)

13.88% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.7% (

0.9)

41.3% (

-0.89)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 19.46%

Braga 59.03%

Draw 21.5%

Portimonense	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.46%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.5%	1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 6.55% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.1% Total : 59.03%