Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
1 - 0
Portimonense

Evanilson (9')
Carmo (16'), Varela (32'), Gonzalez (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Victor Tornich (60'), Guga (65'), Relvas (69'), Dener (77'), Amorim (87'), Carlinhos (90+1'), Sergio (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 0-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 2-3 Portimonense
Saturday, September 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 9.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Portimonense
73.72% ( 1.08)	16.41% ( -0.46)	9.86% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 47.66% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.4% (

0.27)

39.59% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.05% (

0.28)

61.94% (

-0.28)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.73% (

0.33)

9.26% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.69% (

0.77)

31.3% (

-0.77)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.53% (

-1.04)

47.46% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.16% (

-0.79)

82.83% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Porto 73.72%

Portimonense 9.86%

Draw 16.41%

Porto	Draw	Portimonense
2-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.74% Total : 73.72%	1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.76% Total : 16.41%	0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.45% Total : 9.86%