Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.