Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Nov 11, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
2 - 1
Chaves

Varela (14'), Carrillo (38')
Tornich (48'), Carlinhos (63'), Dener (85'), Amorim (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sousa (87')
Correia (22'), Souza (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 6-1 Portimonense
Saturday, November 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Chaves

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Chaves 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portimonense in this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Chaves
32.79% ( -0.06)	27.2% ( -0.03)	40.01% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 49.81% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.45% (

0.11)

55.55% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.28% (

0.09)

76.72% (

-0.09)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4% (

0.01)

31.6% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32% (

0.02)

68% (

-0.02)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

0.1)

27.18% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

0.13)

62.59% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 32.79%

Chaves 40%

Draw 27.19%

Portimonense	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.79%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 40%