Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
27.76% ( -0.01) | 24.66% ( 0.01) | 47.57% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.3% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.72% ( -0.03) | 47.28% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.49% ( -0.03) | 69.51% ( 0.04) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.07% ( -0.03) | 30.93% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.77% ( -0.03) | 67.23% ( 0.04) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.06% ( -0.01) | 19.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.91% ( -0.02) | 52.09% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.76% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 47.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
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