Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 11am UK
Estadio do Sport Uniao Sintrense
Estoril

Sintrense
0 - 5
Estoril

FT(HT: 0-2)
Gomes (34', 42'), Marques (54'), Vital (73'), Carlos (78' pen.)
Tavares (39'), Feltes (47')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Sintrense and Estoril Praia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sintrense

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, October 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 62.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sintrense had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Sintrense win it was 1-0 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
SintrenseDrawEstoril Praia
17.1% (0.073 0.07)20.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)62.23% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.95% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)42.05% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)64.45% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Sintrense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (0.064999999999998 0.06)37.96% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (0.061 0.06)74.73% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)12.96% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.57% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)39.43% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Sintrense 17.1%
    Estoril Praia 62.23%
    Draw 20.67%
SintrenseDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 4.76% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.72% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.31% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 17.1%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.67%
0-2 @ 10.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 7% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 62.23%