Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Nov 12, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
0 - 1
Braga

Simao (40'), Santos (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Djalo (36')
Moutinho (45+3'), Bruma (46'), Magalhaes (85'), Ruiz (90+3')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Braga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 2-0 Arouca
Monday, November 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Braga
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Braga
24.44% ( 1.09)	23.56% ( 0.66)	52% ( -1.75)

Both teams to score 55.87% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.9% (

-1.85)

45.1% (

1.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.56% (

-1.8)

67.44% (

1.8)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.59% (

-0.08)

32.41% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08% (

-0.09)

68.92% (

0.09)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65% (

-1.3)

17.35% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.26% (

-2.33)

47.73% (

2.33)

Score Analysis

Arouca 24.44%

Braga 52.01%

Draw 23.55%

Arouca	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.54% Total : 24.44%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.81% Total : 52.01%