Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Monte de Azevido
Braga

Rebordosa
0 - 2
Braga


Alves (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lopes (10'), Djalo (62')
Carvalho (20'), Castro (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Rebordosa and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Braga 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Rebordosa had a probability of 7.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.17%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Rebordosa win it was 2-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
RebordosaDrawBraga
7.73% (0.019900000000001 0.02)13.15% (0.023 0.02)79.12% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.96% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.39% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)30.61% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.08% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)51.92% (0.073 0.07)
Rebordosa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.26% (0.0010000000000048 0)45.74% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)81.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.91% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)6.09% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.88% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)23.13% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Rebordosa 7.73%
    Braga 79.11%
    Draw 13.15%
RebordosaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 2.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 2.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 7.73%
1-1 @ 6.1% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 2.78% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 13.15%
0-2 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 7.12% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-5 @ 3.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-5 @ 3.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-6 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-5 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 79.11%

How you voted: Rebordosa vs Braga

Rebordosa
9.4%
Draw
9.4%
Braga
81.3%
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