Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Monte de Azevido
Alves (28')
Alves (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
We said: Rebordosa 0-3 Braga
Given that there are three divisions between these sides and a huge gulf in financial resources, we would be amazed if Braga do not cruise to a comfortable victory.
Rebordosa's only hope of causing an upset may be the timing of the international break, which could hamper Braga's selection strategy, but even so the visitors should have more than enough at their disposal to get the job done.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Rebordosa had a probability of 7.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.17%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Rebordosa win it was 2-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result |
| Rebordosa | Draw | Braga |
7.73% ( 0.02) | 13.15% ( 0.02) | 79.12% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.96% ( -0.01) |
| 69.39% ( -0.05) | 30.61% ( 0.06) |
| 48.08% ( -0.07) | 51.92% ( 0.07) |
| 54.26% ( 0) | 45.74% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.48% ( -0) | 81.52% ( 0.01) |
| 93.91% ( -0.01) | 6.09% ( 0.02) |
