/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Ffarlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Farolog.png)
-
Claudio Falcao
25'
-
Mattheus Oliveira
31'
-
Bruno Duarte
38'
-
David Simao
71'
SC Farense vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Farouca.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
Result
SC Farense
34.42%
▲
(+1.20)
Draw
26.48%
▲
(+0.32)
Arouca
39.1%
▼
(-1.51)
Both Teams to Score:
52.44%
▼
(-0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.63%
▼
(-1.07)
Under 2.5
52.36%
▲
(+1.07)
Over 3.5
25.95%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 3.5
74.05%
▲
(+0.93)
Over 4.5
11.96%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 4.5
88.03%
▲
(+0.61)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5
71.05%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
28.94%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 1.5
35.17%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 1.5
64.83%
▼
(-0.30)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
73.8%
▼
(-1.30)
Under 0.5
26.2%
▲
(+1.30)
Over 1.5
38.71%
▼
(-1.77)
Under 1.5
61.29%
▲
(+1.77)
Score analysis
SC Farense
34.42%
Draw
26.47%
Arouca
39.09%
SC Farense
1-0
@
9.4%
▲
(+0.45)
2-1 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1% ▲ (+3.11)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.42%
2-1 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1% ▲ (+3.11)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.42%
Draw
1-1
@
12.59%
▲
(+0.16)
0-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.32)
2-2 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.47%
0-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.32)
2-2 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.47%
Arouca
0-1
@
10.15%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.14)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.14)
0-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.09%
1-2 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.14)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.14)
0-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.09%