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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 6, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Arouca

Farense
2 - 0
Arouca

Oliveira (31' pen.), Duarte (38' pen.)
Falcao (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Simao (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-2 Farense
Thursday, November 2 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, October 31 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: SC Farense 3-1 Arouca

 Farense have been involved in some high-scoring encounters of late, and this fixture has produced goals, with 14 in the three previous meetings. When the two sides met in the second tier in 2018-19, the scores ended 2-2 and 3-3, but with Arouca woefully out of form, they may come up short here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawArouca
34.42% (1.192 1.19) 26.48% (0.312 0.31) 39.1% (-1.505 -1.51)
Both teams to score 52.44% (-0.745 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (-1.068 -1.07)52.36% (1.067 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95% (-0.927 -0.93)74.05% (0.92500000000001 0.93)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.23200000000001 0.23)28.94% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17% (0.289 0.29)64.83% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (-1.294 -1.29)26.2% (1.292 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (-1.763 -1.76)61.29% (1.762 1.76)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 34.42%
    Arouca 39.09%
    Draw 26.47%
SC FarenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.315 0.32)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.09%

How you voted: Farense vs Arouca

SC Farense
76.5%
Draw
14.7%
Arouca
8.8%
34
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10SC FarenseFarense3197154244-234
11Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
12Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
13Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora31611143249-1729
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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