Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2023 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Alex Grimaldo 23' goal
  • Kossonou Odilon 57' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 73' goal
  • Nathan Tella 83' goal
  • yellowcard Frederik Ronnow 74'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 2 - 3 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Florian Wirtz

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Union Berlin 0 - 3 Frankfurt
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Robin Gosens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 69.03% (-0.29)
Draw 17.68% (+0.10)
Union Berlin 13.29% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.1% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.02% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 35.98% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 41.92% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 58.08% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 23.7% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 76.3% (-0.04)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 90.56% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 9.44% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 68.29% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 31.71% (+0.14)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 60.84% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 39.16% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 24.13% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 75.87% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 69.02%
Draw 17.68%
Union Berlin 13.29%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-0 @ 10.29% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.65% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 8.1% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 7.6% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.78% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 4.48% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56% (+0.03)
5-0 @ 2.26% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.36%
Total : 69.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.18% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.53% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.7% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.68%
Union Berlin
1-2 @ 3.83% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 3.47% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.62% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.41% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.2% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 13.29%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 2.30pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Robert Andrich 46' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 56' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 58' goal
  • Adam Hlozek 68' goal
  • Mitchel Bakker 76' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Patrik Schick 38' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 59' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Tah 84' goal
  • yellowcard Christopher Trimmel 31'
  • goal Grischa Promel 45'
  • goal Grischa Promel 50'
  • yellowcard Marvin Friedrich 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 7' goal
  • goal Moussa Diaby 12'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diaby 28'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nadiem Amiri 6' yellowcard
  • Edmond Tapsoba 17' yellowcard
  • Florian Wirtz 27' goal
  • yellowcard Marcus Ingvartsen 40'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 55'
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Jan 15, 2021 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marvin Friedrich 52' yellowcard
  • Cedric Teuchert 88' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 43'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 90'