Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))

Qarabag
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Medina (25'), Vesovic (35'), Gugeshashvili (90+3'), Bayramov (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Okoh Boniface (90+4' pen.)
Wirtz (68'), Xhaka (69'), Hofmann (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Qarabag
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FK	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
25.77% ( -0.5)	22.42% ( -0.27)	51.82% ( 0.78)

Both teams to score 61.24% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.36% (

0.84)

38.64% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.06% (

0.89)

60.94% (

-0.89)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1% (

0.08)

27.89% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49% (

0.1)

63.51% (

-0.09)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.93% (

0.57)

15.07% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.41% (

1.07)

43.59% (

-1.06)

Score Analysis

Qarabag FK 25.77%

Bayer Leverkusen 51.82%

Draw 22.41%

Qarabag FK	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.66% Total : 25.77%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.41%	1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.01% Total : 51.82%