Europa League
Nov 9, 2023 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))
  • Kevin Medina 25' yellowcard
  • Marko Vesovic 35' yellowcard
  • Luka Gugeshashvili 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Tural Bayramov 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 68'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 69'
  • yellowcard Jonas Hofmann 69'
  • goal Victor Okoh Boniface 90'+4'

Qarabag FK vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 26, 2023 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 5 - 1 Qarabag

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 26, 2023 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 5 - 1 Qarabag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Qarabag FK 25.77% (-0.51)
Draw 22.42% (-0.28)
Bayer Leverkusen 51.82% (+0.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.24% (+0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.36% (+0.85)
Under 2.5 38.64% (-0.85)
Over 3.5 39.06% (+0.89)
Under 3.5 60.94% (-0.89)
Over 4.5 21.39% (+0.70)
Under 4.5 78.61% (-0.70)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 72.1% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 27.89% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 36.49% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 63.51% (-0.10)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 84.93% (+0.58)
Under 0.5 15.07% (-0.57)
Over 1.5 56.41% (+1.07)
Under 1.5 43.59% (-1.07)

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 25.77%
Draw 22.41%
Bayer Leverkusen 51.82%
Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 6.48% (-0.11)
1-0 @ 5.37% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 3.43% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 25.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 6.14% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.65% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.41%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 9.61% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 7.53% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.06% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 4.75% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.87% (+0.10)
1-4 @ 2.87% (+0.12)
0-4 @ 2.25% (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.83% (+0.08)
1-5 @ 1.09% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 51.82%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 26, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT BayArena
  • Florian Wirtz 4' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 15' yellowcard
  • Alex Grimaldo 29' goal
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 35' goal
  • Robert Andrich 43' yellowcard
  • Alex Grimaldo 54' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 57' goal
  • goal Tural Bayramov 16'
  • yellowcard Leandro Andrade 19'
  • yellowcard Julio Romao 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Elvin Cafarquliyev 77'