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Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bravida Arena
Qarabag

Hacken
0 - 1
Qarabag


Gustafson (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Juninho (70')
Jankovic (29'), Andrade (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Hacken and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hacken

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Hacken 2-0 AIK
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Qarabag 1-0 Molde
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
HackenDrawQarabag FK
48.34%22.64% (0.0019999999999989 0)29.01% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 63.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)37.14% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.66% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)59.34% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Hacken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)15.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.18% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)44.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)24.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.51% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)59.49% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hacken 48.34%
    Qarabag FK 29.01%
    Draw 22.63%
HackenDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 48.34%
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 7%
0-1 @ 5.44% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.01%

How you voted: Hacken vs Qarabag

Hacken
38.3%
Draw
23.3%
Qarabag FK
38.3%
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