Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 17, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 0
FC Koln

Gregoritsch (72'), Sallai (90+4')
Hofler (40')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ljubicic (27'), Chabot (31'), Kainz (57')
Chabot (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Freiburg
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.86%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	FC Koln
55.86% ( 1.45)	22.02% ( -0.44)	22.12% ( -1.02)

Both teams to score 58.17% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.31% (

0.82)

40.69% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.92% (

0.83)

63.07% (

-0.84)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.54% (

0.75)

14.46% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.58% (

1.45)

42.41% (

-1.45)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68% (

-0.44)

31.99% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.54% (

-0.5)

68.46% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 55.86%

FC Koln 22.12%

Draw 22.02%

Freiburg	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.1% Total : 55.86%	1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.02%	1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.55% Total : 22.12%