/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffreilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fkollog.png)
-
Nicolas Hofler
40'
-
Michael Gregoritsch
72'
-
Roland Sallai
90'+4'
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Dejan Ljubicic
27'
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Julian Chabot
31'
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Florian Kainz
57'
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Julian Chabot
62'
Freiburg vs FC Koln - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F38%2Ffreiburg.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.86%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result
Freiburg
55.86%
▲
(+1.46)
Draw
22.02%
▼
(-0.44)
FC Koln
22.12%
▼
(-1.03)
Both Teams to Score:
58.17%
▲
(+0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.31%
▲
(+0.82)
Under 2.5
40.69%
▼
(-0.83)
Over 3.5
36.92%
▲
(+0.84)
Under 3.5
63.07%
▼
(-0.84)
Over 4.5
19.72%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 4.5
80.27%
▼
(-0.65)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5
85.54%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 0.5
14.46%
▼
(-0.76)
Over 1.5
57.58%
▲
(+1.45)
Under 1.5
42.41%
▼
(-1.46)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5
68%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 0.5
31.99%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 1.5
31.54%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 1.5
68.46%
▲
(+0.50)
Score analysis
Freiburg
55.86%
Draw
22.02%
FC Koln
22.12%
Freiburg
2-1
@
9.86%
▲
(+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.20)
3-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.18)
4-0 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.19)
4-2 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.10)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-93.66)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.86%
1-0 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.20)
3-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.18)
4-0 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.19)
4-2 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.10)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-93.66)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.86%
Draw
1-1
@
10.19%
▼
(-0.24)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.02%
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.02%
FC Koln
1-2
@
5.81%
▼
(-0.21)
0-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 22.12%
0-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 22.12%