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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 48.9% ( | 23.26% | 27.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.08% ( | 40.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.69% ( | 63.31% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( | 16.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.98% ( | 47.02% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( | 27.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( | 63.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 4-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 4.13% Total : 48.9% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.84% |