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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 59.71% ( | 20.56% ( | 19.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.88% ( | 37.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.69% ( | 59.31% ( |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.86% ( | 12.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.26% | 37.74% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.81% ( | 32.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.33% ( | 68.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 3-1 @ 6.92% ( 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 4-1 @ 3.65% 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 5-1 @ 1.54% 5-0 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 4.16% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 3-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-3 @ 2% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 19.73% |