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Bundesliga

Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Leverkusen logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 3
B. Leverkusen


Bittencourt (14'), Friedl (36'), Deman (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Deman (9' og.), Frimpong (42'), Grimaldo (76')
Grimaldo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Frankfurt
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayer Leverkusen
17.72% (0.127 0.13)20.29% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)61.98% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.68% (0.473 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.85% (0.494 0.49)39.14% (-0.496 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.53% (0.517 0.52)61.47% (-0.52 -0.52)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51% (0.443 0.44)35.48% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75% (0.457 0.46)72.25% (-0.459 -0.46)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (0.128 0.13)12.13% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.27% (0.273 0.27)37.72% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 17.73%
    Bayer Leverkusen 61.98%
    Draw 20.29%
Werder BremenDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 4.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.68% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 17.73%
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.29%
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.58% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-3 @ 6.98% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.73% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.68% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.61% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 3.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.91% (0.04 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.55% (0.022 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 61.98%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs B. Leverkusen

Werder Bremen
10.4%
Draw
2.1%
Bayer Leverkusen
87.5%
48
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> Preview
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> Preview
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Schick (67'), Demirbay (89')
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> Preview
May 18, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 26
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> Match Report