Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Werder Bremen
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Weserstadion
B. Leverkusen
  • Leonardo Bittencourt 14' yellowcard
  • Marco Friedl 36' yellowcard
  • Olivier Deman 54' yellowcard
  • goal Olivier Deman 9' (OG)
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 42'
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 76'
  • yellowcard Alex Grimaldo 77'

Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2023 4.30pm
Werder Bremen 2 - 2 Frankfurt
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2023 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Florian Wirtz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Werder Bremen 17.72% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 20.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Bayer Leverkusen 61.98% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.68% ▲ (+0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.85% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 39.14% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 38.53% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 3.5 61.47% ▼ (-0.53)
Over 4.5 20.97% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 4.5 79.03% ▼ (-0.41)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 64.51% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 0.5 35.48% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 1.5 27.75% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 1.5 72.25% ▼ (-0.46)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 87.86% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 12.13% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 62.27% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 1.5 37.72% ▼ (-0.28)

Score analysis

Werder Bremen 17.73%
Draw 20.29%
Bayer Leverkusen 61.98%
Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 17.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.29%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.06)
0-4 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.04)
1-5 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.03)
0-5 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 61.98%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Werder Bremen
Mar 12, 2023 4.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Marvin Ducksch 30' goal
  • Niclas Fullkrug 86' goal
  • goal Mitchel Bakker 34'
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 56'
  • goal Adam Hlozek 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
B. Leverkusen
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Werder Bremen
  • Kerem Demirbay 57' goal
  • goal Milos Veljkovic 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Joshua Sargent 4' yellowcard
  • Christian Gross 42' yellowcard
  • Theodor Gebre Selassie 87' yellowcard
  • Eren Dinkci 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Daley Sinkgraven 27'
  • yellowcard Patrik Schick 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
B. Leverkusen
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Werder Bremen
  • Patrik Schick 67' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 70' goal
  • Kerem Demirbay 89' yellowcard
  • goal Omer Toprak 52'
  • yellowcard Ludwig Augustinsson 54'
  • yellowcard Jean-Manuel Mbom 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Werder Bremen
May 18, 2020 7.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Weserstadion
B. Leverkusen
  • Theodor Gebre Selassie 30' goal
  • Niklas Moisander 54' yellowcard
  • Marco Friedl 75' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Havertz 28'
  • goal Kai Havertz 33'
  • yellowcard Sven Bender 44'
  • goal Mitchell Weiser 61'
  • goal Kerem Demirbay 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
B. Leverkusen
Oct 26, 2019 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT BayArena (Leverkusen)
Werder Bremen
  • Omer Toprak 4' goal
  • Lars Bender 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Alario 58' goal
  • Lucas Alario 88' yellowcard
  • goal Milot Rashica 40'
  • goal Davy Klaassen 48'
  • yellowcard Davy Klaassen 76'

Form Data

Werder Bremen 2 - 2 Frankfurt
Wolfsburg 2 - 2 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen 2 - 0 Union Berlin
Dortmund 1 - 0 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen 2 - 3 Hoffenheim
Darmstadt 4 - 2 Werder Bremen
B. Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin
Qarabag 0 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Hoffenheim 2 - 3 B. Leverkusen
SV Sandhausen 2 - 5 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 2 - 1 Freiburg
B. Leverkusen 5 - 1 Qarabag