Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
0 - 1
Werder Bremen

Kimmich (17'), de Ligt (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Njinmah (25'), Weiser (59')
Schmid (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, January 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 83.23%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 6.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 4-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.83%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Werder Bremen
83.23% ( 0.46)	10.74% ( -0.2)	6.03% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 52.17% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.29% (

-0.13)

24.71% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.46% (

-0.17)

44.53% (

0.18)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.72% (

0.05)

4.28% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.25% (

0.15)

17.75% (

-0.14)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.5% (

-0.88)

45.5% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.67% (

-0.7)

81.33% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 83.22%

Werder Bremen 6.03%

Draw 10.74%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Werder Bremen
3-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 8% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 8% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 7-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 7-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.27% Total : 83.22%	1-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 10.74%	1-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 6.03%