Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 0
Hoffenheim

Musiala (18', 70'), Kane (90')
Pavlovic (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Stach (16'), Promel (42')
Promel (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Basel 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-3 Darmstadt
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Hoffenheim
71.15% ( -0)	15.81% ( 0)	13.03% ( 0)

Both teams to score 62.07% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.93% (

27.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.43% (

47.57% (

-0)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.23% (

6.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.01% (

24.99%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.58% (

33.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.95% (

70.05% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 71.15%

Hoffenheim 13.03%

Draw 15.81%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 8.07% 3-0 @ 7.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.09% 4-1 @ 5.43% 4-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 4.42% 4-2 @ 2.98% 5-1 @ 2.93% 5-0 @ 2.67% 5-2 @ 1.6% 6-1 @ 1.31% 6-0 @ 1.2% 4-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.85% Total : 71.15%	1-1 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 4.93% 0-0 @ 2.26% 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 15.81%	1-2 @ 3.66% 0-1 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.4% Total : 13.03%