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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 64.51% ( | 18.56% ( | 16.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.77% ( | 32.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.18% ( | 53.82% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.52% ( | 9.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.2% ( | 31.79% ( |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.88% ( | 32.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.41% ( | 68.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 3-1 @ 7.54% 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 4-1 @ 4.44% ( 3-2 @ 4.28% ( 4-0 @ 3.91% 4-2 @ 2.52% ( 5-1 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.84% 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 4-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.89% Total : 64.51% | 1-1 @ 8.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 3-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.56% | 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0-2 @ 1.96% 1-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 16.92% |