Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Dortmund
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
RB Leipzig
  • Mats Hummels 15' redcard
  • Niklas Sule 45'+6' goal
  • Salih Ozcan 60' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 90'+3' goal
  • goal Ramy Bensebaini 32' (OG)
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 35'
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 54'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 61'
  • yellowcard Lois Openda 66'
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 90'+1'

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2023 4.30pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Dortmund
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Dec 2, 2023 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Heidenheim
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Lois Openda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.57%) and 3-1 (5.46%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 44.5% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 21.98% ▲ (+0.02)
RB Leipzig 33.51% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.38% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 31.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 46.99% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 53.01% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 28.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 71.97% ▲ (+0.06)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 85.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 14.96% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 56.62% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 43.37% ▲ (+0.10)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 80.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 48.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 51.52% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 44.5%
Draw 21.98%
RB Leipzig 33.51%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 44.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.98%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 33.51%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
RB Leipzig
Apr 5, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Dortmund
  • Timo Werner 22' goal
  • Willi Orban 90'+8' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Dortmund
Mar 3, 2023 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Marco Reus 21' goal
  • Emre Can 39' goal
  • goal Emil Forsberg 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Dortmund
  • Willi Orban 6' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 45' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 84' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Dortmund
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Thorgan Hazard 45' yellowcard
  • Emre Can 80' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 84' goal
  • Donyell Malen 88' yellowcard
  • goal Konrad Laimer 21'
  • goal Konrad Laimer 30'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 54'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 58'
  • goal Dani Olmo 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
RB Leipzig
Nov 6, 2021 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Dortmund
  • Christopher Nkunku 29' goal
  • Tyler Adams 40' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 65' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 68' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 31'
  • yellowcard Marco Reus 31'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 38'
  • goal Marco Reus 52'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 55'
  • yellowcard Youssoufa Moukoko 89'
DFB-Pokal
RB Leipzig
May 13, 2021 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
Dortmund
  • Dayot Upamecano 45' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 71' goal
  • Dani Olmo 81' yellowcard
  • goal Jadon Sancho 5'
  • yellowcard Emre Can 15'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 25'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 28'
  • goal Jadon Sancho 45'
  • yellowcard Mahmoud Dahoud 50'
  • yellowcard Jadon Sancho 81'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 87'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 90'

Form Data

Stuttgart 2 - 0 Dortmund
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Dortmund
AC Milan 1 - 3 Dortmund
Dortmund 4 - 2 Borussia M'bach
Stuttgart 2 - 1 Dortmund
Dortmund 2 - 0 Newcastle
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Heidenheim
Man City 3 - 2 RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg 2 - 1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Freiburg
Red Star 1 - 2 RB Leipzig
Mainz 2 - 0 RB Leipzig