DFB-Pokal | Round of 16

Dec 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
2 - 0
Dortmund

Guirassy (54'), Wamangituka (77')
Anton (64'), Karazor (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bensebaini (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Dortmund
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
50.35% ( 2.94)	21.87% ( -0.36)	27.78% ( -2.58)

Both teams to score 65.2% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.75% (

0.01)

34.24% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.86% (

0.01)

56.14% (

-0.02)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.01% (

0.99)

13.99% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.49% (

1.91)

41.5% (

-1.91)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8% (

-1.59)

24.19% (

1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.47% (

-2.3)

58.52% (

2.3)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 50.35%

Borussia Dortmund 27.78%

Draw 21.87%

Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.43) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.28) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.14) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 50.35%	1-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.78%