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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.17%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 0-1 (7.23%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 23.63% ( | 21.2% ( | 55.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.02% ( | 34.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.03% ( | 56.96% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% ( | 27.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% ( | 63.05% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.24% ( | 12.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.97% ( | 39.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.01% ( 1-0 @ 4.53% ( 2-0 @ 2.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 3-0 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.66% Total : 23.63% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 1-3 @ 6.59% ( 0-3 @ 5.11% ( 2-3 @ 4.25% ( 1-4 @ 3.39% ( 0-4 @ 2.63% ( 2-4 @ 2.19% ( 1-5 @ 1.4% ( 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 2-5 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 55.17% |