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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Augsburg logo

Werder Bremen
2 - 0
Augsburg

Stark (39'), Ducksch (65')
Zetterer (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Demirovic (27'), Thorup (71'), Dorsch (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 3 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.81%) and 2-0 (4.96%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawAugsburg
39.34% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)22.71% (-0.503 -0.5)37.95% (0.848 0.85)
Both teams to score 66.51% (2.035 2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.65% (2.618 2.62)34.35% (-2.619 -2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.74% (2.893 2.89)56.26% (-2.893 -2.89)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.86% (0.964 0.96)18.14% (-0.966 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.9% (1.621 1.62)49.1% (-1.622 -1.62)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24% (1.547 1.55)18.76% (-1.548 -1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.85% (2.529 2.53)50.15% (-2.53 -2.53)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 39.34%
    Augsburg 37.95%
    Draw 22.71%
Werder BremenDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.175 -0.17)
1-0 @ 5.81% (-0.613 -0.61)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.357 -0.36)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.95% (0.224 0.22)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.08 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.144 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 39.34%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-2 @ 6.94% (0.189 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.4% (-0.477 -0.48)
3-3 @ 2.2% (0.223 0.22)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.49 -0.49)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.201 0.2)
2-3 @ 3.87% (0.284 0.28)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.9% (0.17 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.19 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.068 0.07)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.95%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Augsburg

Werder Bremen
61.1%
Draw
22.2%
Augsburg
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Augsburg
2-1
Werder Bremen
Beljo (5'), Maier (46')
Stage (16')
Sep 9, 2022 7.30pm
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Augsburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Khedira (57'), Caligiuri (90' pen.)
Gikiewicz (45+1'), Richter (65'), Hahn (90+2')
Vargas (13')

Gross (42'), Moisander (90+2')
Gross (49')
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Werder Bremen
2-0
Augsburg
Gebre Selassie (84'), Agu (87')

Caligiuri (32')
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Augsburg
2-1
Werder Bremen
Niederlechner (67'), Vargas (82')
Baier (76'), Max (88')
Jedvaj (23' og.)
Eggestein (48'), Toprak (66'), Bartels (69'), Bittencourt (74'), Selke (90')