Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 1, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 2
Bayern

Gunter (12'), Holer (87')
Holer (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tel (35'), Musiala (75')
Tel (73'), Pavlovic (79')

The Match

Match Report

Freiburg's Lucas Holer nets a late equaliser to deny Bayern Munich all three points at the Europa-Park Stadion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Freiburg
Sunday, February 25 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 51.64%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.32%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
27.16% ( 0)	21.21% ( 0)	51.64%

Both teams to score 67.14% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.51% (

31.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.04% (

52.96%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.84% (

23.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97% (

57.03%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.38% (

12.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.26% (

38.74%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 27.16%

Bayern Munich 51.64%

Draw 21.21%

Freiburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.47% 1-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-1 @ 3.16% 2-0 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.99% Total : 27.16%	1-1 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 6.7% 0-0 @ 2.92% 3-3 @ 2.25% Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.21%	1-2 @ 9.16% 1-3 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 6.26% 0-1 @ 6.05% 2-3 @ 4.62% 0-3 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 2.24% 1-5 @ 1.35% 3-4 @ 1.17% 2-5 @ 0.99% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.57% Total : 51.64%