Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Augsburg
Jan 27, 2024 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT WWK Arena
Bayern
  • Kevin Mbabu 19' yellowcard
  • Ermedin Demirovic 52' goal
  • Iago 69' yellowcard
  • Ermedin Demirovic 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Matthijs de Ligt 6'
  • goal Aleksandar Pavlovic 23'
  • goal Alphonso Davies 45'+5'
  • goal Harry Kane 58'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Pavlovic 67'
  • yellowcard Leroy Sane 80'
  • yellowcard Raphael Guerreiro 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Manuel Neuer 90'+8'

Augsburg vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2024 4.30pm
Borussia M'bach 1 - 2 Augsburg
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Ermedin Demirovic

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2024 7.30pm
Bayern 1 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-3 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Augsburg 13.76% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 16.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Bayern Munich 69.97% ▼ (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.44% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 27.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 51.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 48.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 32.43%
Under 4.5 67.57% ▲ (+0.01)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5 67.22% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 32.79% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 30.65% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 69.35% ▼ (-0.12)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 92.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 7.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 74.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 25.89% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Augsburg 13.76%
Draw 16.27%
Bayern Munich 69.97%
Augsburg
2-1 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 13.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.33%
3-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.27%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 8.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.56%
1-6 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-6 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 69.97%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Bayern
Aug 27, 2023 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
Augsburg
  • Felix Uduokhai 32' goal
  • Harry Kane 40' goal
  • Harry Kane 69' goal
  • Ryan Gravenberch 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elvis Rexhbecaj 56'
  • yellowcard Irvin Cardona 79'
  • goal Dion Beljo 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Bayern
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
5
3
HT : 4 1
FT
Augsburg
  • Joao Cancelo 15' goal
  • Benjamin Pavard 18' goal
  • Benjamin Pavard 35' goal
  • Leroy Sane 45' goal
  • Alphonso Davies 74' goal
  • goal Mergim Berisha 2'
  • goal Mergim Berisha 60'
  • goal Irvin Cardona 90'+3'
DFB-Pokal
Augsburg
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
2
5
HT : 1 1
FT WWK Arena
Bayern
  • Mads Pedersen 9' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 65' goal
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 27'
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 53'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 59'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 74'
  • goal Alphonso Davies 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Augsburg
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bayern
  • Mergim Berisha 59' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Bayern
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Augsburg
  • Tanguy Kouassi 68' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 82' goal
  • yellowcard Reece Oxford 36'
  • yellowcard Markus Weinzierl 80'
  • yellowcard Niklas Dorsch 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Augsburg
Nov 19, 2021 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Bayern
  • Mads Pedersen 23' goal
  • Andre Hahn 36' goal
  • Andre Hahn 45' yellowcard
  • Raphael Framberger 79' yellowcard
  • Markus Weinzierl 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 38'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 45'+1'

Form Data

Borussia M'bach 1 - 2 Augsburg
Augsburg 0 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Stuttgart 3 - 0 Augsburg
Augsburg 1 - 1 Dortmund
Werder Bremen 2 - 0 Augsburg
Augsburg 2 - 1 Frankfurt
Bayern 1 - 0 Union Berlin
Bayern 0 - 1 Werder Bremen
Bayern 3 - 0 Hoffenheim
Basel 1 - 1 Bayern
Wolfsburg 1 - 2 Bayern
Bayern 3 - 0 Stuttgart