Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.